Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 58.382923 66.526775 74.888114 84.080040 93.868097 103.948647 115.084570
2025-11-30 47.020324 58.762352 71.393744 85.849979 101.804373 118.755399 138.011690
2025-12-07 40.209503 53.938375 69.226542 87.221846 107.559115 129.598461 155.066338
2025-12-14 33.720013 48.571356 65.676956 86.344265 110.202050 136.502762 167.335095
2025-12-21 28.033679 43.453551 61.823109 84.577276 111.361455 141.342941 176.933913
2025-12-28 25.853111 42.348257 62.490565 87.882130 118.171979 152.425464 193.423550
2026-01-04 23.297767 40.475918 61.999154 89.614833 122.992092 161.110312 207.092204
2026-01-11 20.120100 37.459291 59.834154 89.107650 124.990783 166.399006 216.757849
2026-01-18 17.377568 34.752969 57.848578 88.640018 126.888307 171.452062 226.052137
2026-01-25 15.341028 32.835740 56.734068 89.134391 129.847904 177.674745 236.640550
2026-02-01 13.134927 30.431197 54.800811 88.450202 131.256265 181.975999 244.915452
2026-02-08 11.386764 28.533452 53.419944 88.368796 133.323951 186.999036 253.986551
2026-02-15 9.523307 26.251219 51.390500 87.374197 134.230037 190.640767 261.474412
2026-02-22 8.487630 25.239083 51.096512 88.634433 137.949123 197.673234 272.992693
2026-03-01 7.623889 24.420620 51.016704 90.133195 141.936207 205.008343 284.856967
2026-03-08 6.287345 22.534242 49.231233 89.220493 142.767860 208.436444 292.004482
2026-03-15 4.942214 20.379833 46.887725 87.424290 142.371463 210.288557 297.202285
2026-03-22 4.750244 20.601078 48.235887 90.789442 148.702701 220.469325 312.475241
2026-03-29 4.279815 20.141345 48.467194 92.553813 152.922601 228.023045 324.565914
2026-04-05 3.476728 18.764258 47.138041 92.037402 154.096487 231.753183 331.991164
2026-04-12 2.786077 17.484566 45.880021 91.561266 155.279394 235.463516 339.369443
2026-04-19 2.316089 16.656214 45.321606 92.064631 157.743659 240.767615 348.686645
2026-04-26 1.768539 15.424776 43.986713 91.367989 158.555728 243.959258 355.393085